← Free resource libraryEpidemiology • Free activity
Outbreak Network Model
Use a paper contact network to explore how connection patterns affect simulated transmission.
12–1830–45 minFree to usePrintable page
You will need
Paper, pens, dice or random number generator
Investigation
What to do
1
Draw 12 people as nodes with different numbers of connections.
2
Choose one starting case.
3
Use a die rule to simulate possible transmission along links.
4
Run the model several times.
5
Discuss why a simplified model cannot predict a real outbreak.
Science thinking
What this develops
Networks, probability, epidemiological modelling and uncertainty.
Safety first
Use age-appropriate supervision and safe materials. Stop any activity that is unsuitable for the learner or environment. These resources are educational activities, not professional laboratory, medical or safety instructions.
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